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Probability (Discussion)

ankita saidTue, 07 Oct 2008 07:04:35 -0000 ( Link )

What is the probability of getting at least one six in a single throw of three unbiased dice?

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  1. Sureshbala saidThu, 16 Oct 2008 05:55:29 -0000 ( Link )

    Since we need at least one six, let us calculate the negation of this…I mean calculate the probability of not getting a six on any of these three dice.

    The probability of not getting a six on a die is 5/6

    Since the three events here are independent events, the probability of not getting six on any of these three dice is 5/6×5/6×5/6 = 125/216.

    Hence the probability of getting at least one six is 1-125/216 = 91/216.

    In fact you can also solve this directly by calculating what we need.

    At least one six gives us the following cases

    Case1: Exactly one six Case 2: Exactly two sixes Case 3: Exactly three sixes

    Considering Case 1: The probability of getting exactly one six is 1/6×5/6×5/6 and since one six could be from any of the three dice in ^3C_1 = 3 ways, the probability is 3(1/6×5/6×5/6) = 75/216

    Considering Case 2: The probability of getting exactly two sixes is 1/6×5/6×5/6 ans sine two sixes could be from any of the three dice in ^3C_2 = 3 ways, the probability is 3(1/6×1/6×5/6) = 15/216

    Considering Case 3: The probability of getting six on all the three dice is 1/6×1/6×1/6 = 1/216.

    Hence the probability of getting at least one six is 75/216+15/216+1/216 = 91/216.

    But this will take some time compared to what we have in the first case.

    I hope this is clear

    Regards, Suresh

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  2. ankita saidThu, 16 Oct 2008 07:40:49 -0000 ( Link )

    Hi Sureshbala, That’s right ! Thanks for the explanation.

    I would like to share alternate way :

    Find the number of cases in which none of the digits show a ‘6’.

    i.e. all three dice show a number other than ‘6’, 5 * 5 *5 = 125 cases.

    Total possible outcomes when three dice are thrown = 216.

    The number of outcomes in which at least one die shows a ‘6’ = Total possible outcomes when three dice are thrown – Number of outcomes in which none of them show ‘6’.

    = 216 – 125 = 91.

    The required probability = 91 / 216

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  3. ujju saidMon, 19 Jan 2009 07:17:34 -0000 ( Link )

    Thanks ankita, the same way i approch.

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